Single Comment

Reinhard, that is not relevant. It will happen on the average as often for
the other side. It is in the nature of Chess. Every game that is won, is
won by an error, that might not have been made on longer thinking. As the
initial position is not a won position for eaiter side. But most games are
won by either side, and if they are allowed to think longer, most games are
still won by either side.

What is so hard to understand about the statement 'the win probability
(score fraction, if you allow for draws) obtained from a given quiet, but
complex (many pieces) position between equal opponents does not depend on
time control' that it prompt people to come up with irrelevancies? Why do
you think that saying anything at all that does not mention an observed
probability would have any bearing on this statement whatsoever?

I don't think the ever more hollow sounding selfdeclared superiority of
Derek need much comment. He obviously doesn't know zilch about
probability theory and statistics. Shouting that he does won't make it
so, and won't fool anyone.