H. G. Muller wrote on Wed, Sep 28, 2016 06:00 PM UTC:
It doesn't strike me as strange. In Capablanca Chess I use Q=950, RN=900, BN=875. So that is only 25 centi-Pawn difference between RN and BN. With two of each that would cause an advantage of 0.5 Pawn, and you just determined that a Pawn corresponds to10%. So you would expect 55%. But the error in 130 games is 45%/sqrt(130) = 4%. So 52% is well within one standard deviation from the expected result. The Archbishops might have been a bit lucky.
It doesn't strike me as strange. In Capablanca Chess I use Q=950, RN=900, BN=875. So that is only 25 centi-Pawn difference between RN and BN. With two of each that would cause an advantage of 0.5 Pawn, and you just determined that a Pawn corresponds to10%. So you would expect 55%. But the error in 130 games is 45%/sqrt(130) = 4%. So 52% is well within one standard deviation from the expected result. The Archbishops might have been a bit lucky.