🕸📝Fergus Duniho wrote on Mon, Jan 9, 2006 05:25 PM UTC:
Christine,
Although it would seem unfair that you are rated lower than any of the
players you have defeated, further examination of the evidence reveals
that it is fair. Your three opponents have all played several more games
than you have, and they all have much stronger track records against their
opponents than you have against yours. As long as you have played few
games, this method works with the assumption that your performance was
probably due to luck. As you play more games, as your opponents have, it
begins to place more trust in your performances against other players.
Like Elo, the method used here is self-correcting. As you play more and
more games, it is better able to come up with a more accurate estimate of
your relative playing ability. Since you have played only a few games, it
doesn't yet have enough information to make a good estimate.